Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Part of HuffPost Wellness. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. Then the probability of Mr. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. Do you know the odds of being alive? On one try. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. This includes personalizing content and advertising. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Post your query OR Review in below comment box. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Thank you, Monsignor. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! Thats a ridiculously huge number. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Onward to freedom! So what's the probability of your being born? If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. One in 2,000. You can start the series by clicking HERE. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. A donut with no hole, is a Danish. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Step 4. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). Thats 150,000 generations. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Please pass this post along. On one try. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. You may think You say that to everyone!. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. But let's think about this some more. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. How fast does a laden fly fly? As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . Or stalk me (with love.). Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. Are they gross exaggerations? This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. dr ali binazir odds of being born. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. Now things start getting interesting. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. You get the volume of planet Earth. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. On one try.. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. dr ali binazir odds of being born. You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Probability is a pure odd. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Step 1. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Think of yourself as dead. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. Now things start getting interesting. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down.